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Qual 112018 FIM District West Michigan Event
Red336
6128113.2
4337119.4
3098178.3
Blue258
3458104.7
6122151.8
5927112.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336255100200300400500336258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#3
178.31.9
163.0→164.9
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
red by 26.5
6122
#35
151.80.1
145.7→145.6
Auto16.2
Teleop113.5
End20.6
Second
4337
#18
119.411.6
86.8→98.4
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
red by 6.8
5927
#29
112.50.9
122.3→121.4
Auto14.0
Teleop85.2
End12.9
Third
6128
#23
113.20.0
105.1→105.0
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
red by 8.5
3458
#39
104.77.9
89.1→97.0
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed