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Red282
5255111.9
6128113.2
5980157.7
Blue274
5470117.5
5173141.7
4337119.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782930100200400500600282274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.71.8
141.8143.5
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4
red by 15.9
5173
#28
141.79.6
106.0115.6
Auto19.1
Teleop107.6
End15.1
Second
6128
#23
113.20.4
105.0105.5
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
blue by 6.2
4337
#18
119.49.0
98.4107.4
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
Third
5255
#24
111.98.8
85.794.5
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
blue by 5.7
5470
#31
117.57.8
91.399.1
Auto15.0
Teleop85.6
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed