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Red292
85194.0
6548171.9
5473105.3
Blue327
5255111.9
2075162.5
5675166.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342287100200400500600292327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#1
194.00.4
181.2180.8
Auto24.8
Teleop142.5
End28.3
red by 27.7
166.30.5
160.0160.5
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
Second
6548
#22
171.91.1
164.7165.8
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
red by 9.4
2075
#11
162.50.5
150.8151.4
Auto22.6
Teleop126.0
End13.3
Third
5473
#16
105.30.0
97.697.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.8
End1.5
blue by 6.6
5255
#24
111.91.3
100.4101.7
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed