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Red292
5173141.7
5610111.7
3098178.3
Blue334
6094116.2
3620176.1
3572136.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328278200300400500292334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.32.1
166.9169.1
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
red by 2.2
176.11.9
159.2161.0
Auto23.4
Teleop135.3
End18.2
Second
5173
#28
141.75.4
115.6121.0
Auto19.1
Teleop107.6
End15.1
red by 5.3
3572
#10
136.52.0
119.5121.5
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End14.0
Third
5610
#37
111.71.2
109.7110.9
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
blue by 4.5
6094
#20
116.22.1
119.3117.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed