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Red426
2405123.4
3546177.4
5675166.3
Blue102
3098178.3
141154.7
5316110.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310334100200400500600426102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.41.5
164.6166.1
Auto24.9
Teleop131.9
End24.0
blue by 0.8
178.31.6
169.1170.7
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
Second
166.30.6
160.5161.1
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
red by 11.6
141
#5
154.71.6
147.1148.7
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
Third
2405
#17
123.40.6
108.6109.1
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3
red by 13.2
5316
#30
110.21.1
108.7109.8
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed