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Red163
2054136.9
5473105.3
5255111.9
Blue381
141154.7
6531108.0
5173141.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264295150200250350163381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#27
136.93.0
137.3140.3
Auto14.8
Teleop102.5
End20.3
blue by 17.8
141
#5
154.70.4
148.7148.3
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
Second
5255
#24
111.92.6
102.9105.5
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
blue by 29.9
5173
#28
141.72.8
124.3127.2
Auto19.1
Teleop107.6
End15.1
Third
5473
#16
105.33.1
97.5100.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.8
End1.5
blue by 2.7
6531
#26
108.00.8
99.3100.1
Auto14.3
Teleop86.2
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed