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Red215
3572136.5
566499.2
5927112.5
Blue303
5470117.5
5675166.3
642894.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782960100200400500600215303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
136.52.1
126.2128.2
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End14.0
blue by 29.8
166.31.8
162.7164.5
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
Second
5927
#29
112.50.3
120.0120.3
Auto14.0
Teleop85.2
End12.9
blue by 5.0
5470
#31
117.53.1
107.1110.2
Auto15.0
Teleop85.6
End18.6
Third
5664
#40
99.21.5
112.4110.9
Auto16.5
Teleop74.7
End9.7
red by 5.2
6428
#36
94.02.6
97.294.6
Auto17.2
Teleop72.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed