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Red204
6548171.9
4337119.4
5255111.9
Blue355
7054133.1
2054136.9
6043140.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3293010100200400500600700800204355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
171.91.4
168.0169.4
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
red by 31.6
140.30.7
136.5137.2
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
Second
4337
#18
119.43.1
120.9124.0
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
blue by 17.5
2054
#27
136.90.2
140.7140.5
Auto14.8
Teleop102.5
End20.3
Third
5255
#24
111.91.7
105.6107.4
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
blue by 21.2
7054
#19
133.10.3
130.7130.4
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed