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Red361
3620176.1
5316110.2
6122151.8
Blue318
4004137.0
642894.0
5173141.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378259100200300500600361318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.11.9
170.6172.5
Auto23.4
Teleop135.3
End18.2
red by 34.3
5173
#28
141.72.7
136.4139.1
Auto19.1
Teleop107.6
End15.1
Second
6122
#35
151.81.7
146.8148.4
Auto16.2
Teleop113.5
End20.6
red by 14.8
4004
#15
137.01.2
128.3129.5
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
Third
5316
#30
110.20.6
106.0106.6
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
red by 16.2
6428
#36
94.00.1
93.793.8
Auto17.2
Teleop72.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed