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Red450
6043140.3
6094116.2
3098178.3
Blue224
5963117.7
5675166.3
6065129.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3243090100200400500600700450224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.30.8
171.3172.1
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
red by 12.0
166.30.5
166.3166.8
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
Second
140.30.5
137.2137.7
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
red by 10.4
6065
#32
129.91.0
125.8126.9
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
Third
6094
#20
116.20.1
115.7115.6
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
blue by 1.5
5963
#34
117.70.7
124.6123.8
Auto15.9
Teleop85.9
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed