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Red529
6065129.9
4337119.4
85194.0
Blue267
5316110.2
2405123.4
4956154.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361277100200400500600529267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#1
194.01.4
184.7186.1
Auto24.8
Teleop142.5
End28.3
red by 40.0
4956
#21
154.00.0
153.2153.2
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
Second
6065
#32
129.90.3
126.9127.2
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
red by 6.5
2405
#17
123.42.3
115.1117.4
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3
Third
4337
#18
119.42.7
124.6121.9
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
red by 9.2
5316
#30
110.21.3
106.6107.9
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed