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Red320
566499.2
74160.2
4004137.0
Blue225
7054133.1
5255111.9
6114116.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293289200250350400320225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#12
160.21.9
151.1153.0
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
red by 27.1
7054
#19
133.10.2
130.1130.4
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
Second
4004
#15
137.01.4
129.5130.9
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
red by 20.4
6114
#38
116.61.8
112.7114.5
Auto16.6
Teleop88.6
End14.5
Third
5664
#40
99.23.7
106.6103.0
Auto16.5
Teleop74.7
End9.7
blue by 12.6
5255
#24
111.91.6
107.1108.7
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed