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Red180
6094116.2
141154.7
5963117.7
Blue429
74160.2
3458104.7
85194.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265377100200300500600180429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#5
154.71.1
152.0153.0
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
blue by 39.3
85
#1
194.01.9
186.1188.1
Auto24.8
Teleop142.5
End28.3
Second
5963
#34
117.73.1
123.0120.0
Auto15.9
Teleop85.9
End17.0
blue by 42.5
74
#12
160.21.8
153.0154.9
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
Third
6094
#20
116.20.2
116.7116.5
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
red by 11.5
3458
#39
104.71.1
105.8104.7
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed