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Red269
3098178.3
566499.2
3620176.1
Blue358
5162126.1
2075162.5
4003193.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943710100200400500600269358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.31.5
175.7177.2
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
blue by 15.5
193.70.8
191.7192.5
Auto24.9
Teleop151.2
End19.4
Second
176.10.1
176.1176.0
Auto23.4
Teleop135.3
End18.2
red by 13.5
2075
#11
162.52.2
159.3161.5
Auto22.6
Teleop126.0
End13.3
Third
5664
#40
99.21.5
100.899.2
Auto16.5
Teleop74.7
End9.7
blue by 26.8
5162
#25
126.11.8
127.8126.1
Auto19.0
Teleop91.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed