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Red293
5980157.7
5173141.7
6065129.9
Blue153
5473105.3
4004137.0
5610111.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361225100300400500600293153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.71.9
139.9141.8
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4
red by 20.7
4004
#15
137.01.1
119.2120.4
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
Second
5173
#28
141.713.3
92.7106.0
Auto19.1
Teleop107.6
End15.1
red by 30.1
5610
#37
111.71.2
108.0109.2
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
Third
6065
#32
129.97.8
97.5105.2
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
red by 24.6
5473
#16
105.310.5
81.591.9
Auto17.0
Teleop83.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed