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Red215
107155.1
6043140.3
4956154.0
Blue434
74160.2
5980157.7
6548171.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329391100200500600700800215434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#13
155.10.2
154.9155.1
Auto22.8
Teleop116.4
End17.3
blue by 16.8
6548
#22
171.90.0
172.0171.9
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
Second
4956
#21
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
blue by 6.3
74
#12
160.20.3
159.2159.6
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
Third
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
blue by 17.3
157.70.4
156.5156.9
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4