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Red406
7021159.0
1259170.8
2501130.0
Blue248
2987162.4
2502151.5
2181143.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376307100200500600406248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.81.0
169.8170.8
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 8.4
162.40.4
162.0162.4
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
Second
159.01.1
157.9159.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 7.5
151.50.3
151.2151.5
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Third
2501
#16
130.01.0
129.0130.0
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
blue by 13.3
2181
#14
143.30.3
143.0143.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6