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Quarterfinal 1-32018 Northern Lights Regional
Red480
7021159.0
1259170.8
2501130.0
Blue265
2512137.0
5653132.2
4624138.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379269100200300500600480265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#1
170.80.8
166.1→166.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 32.1
4624
#20
138.70.4
138.3→138.7
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
7021
#2
159.01.0
153.6→154.6
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 22.0
2512
#36
137.00.6
136.4→137.0
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
Third
2501
#16
130.00.9
125.1→126.0
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
blue by 2.2
5653
#10
132.20.7
131.6→132.2
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6