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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Northern Lights Regional
Red268
3926131.6
4623154.3
6613139.6
Blue412
4174150.8
2227142.0
5232138.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543390200400600800268412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4623
#3
154.31.7
151.1→152.8
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
red by 3.5
4174
#18
150.81.3
145.8→147.1
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
Second
6613
#24
139.60.6
140.7→140.2
Auto17.5
Teleop104.6
End16.9
blue by 2.5
2227
#9
142.00.5
139.9→140.4
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
Third
3926
#11
131.61.4
128.9→130.3
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
blue by 7.2
5232
#43
138.80.9
135.2→136.1
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1