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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Northern Lights Regional
Red431
2987162.4
2502151.5
2181143.3
Blue259
4531138.2
3630131.9
5434137.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381280100200500600431259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#6
162.40.7
158.3→159.0
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
red by 24.2
4531
#19
138.20.1
138.3→138.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
Second
2502
#4
151.50.7
147.6→148.3
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
red by 14.3
5434
#13
137.20.4
136.4→136.8
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
Third
2181
#14
143.30.6
139.8→140.4
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6
red by 11.4
3630
#8
131.90.6
130.9→131.4
Auto16.7
Teleop97.9
End18.7