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Red316
5999129.3
4623154.3
4531138.2
Blue147
329795.6
604585.1
4182119.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922410100200400500316147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.315.2
81.696.8
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
red by 34.6
4182
#45
119.716.8
67.284.0
Auto15.4
Teleop86.2
End20.0
Second
4531
#19
138.215.5
79.494.9
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
red by 42.6
3297
#53
95.617.8
58.676.4
Auto12.5
Teleop75.3
End8.5
Third
5999
#22
129.318.3
54.572.8
Auto16.8
Teleop94.1
End19.9
red by 44.2
6045
#56
85.118.5
52.571.0
Auto12.0
Teleop69.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed