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Qual 122018 Northern Lights Regional
Red416
1259170.8
5232138.8
4859136.1
Blue170
2501130.0
4632121.5
670791.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287260100200400500416170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#1
170.812.0
100.9→112.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 40.7
2501
#16
130.06.2
98.9→105.2
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
Second
5232
#43
138.810.8
82.1→92.9
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
red by 17.3
4632
#46
121.512.7
81.6→94.3
Auto16.6
Teleop91.2
End14.9
Third
4859
#17
136.18.0
101.7→109.7
Auto16.7
Teleop105.1
End12.8
red by 44.2
6707
#55
91.913.4
75.0→88.4
Auto12.2
Teleop73.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed