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Qual 142018 Northern Lights Regional
Red227
2989121.0
5998116.7
3723107.9
Blue429
2502151.5
6044124.8
2450102.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332690100200300400500600700227429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2989
#12
121.08.7
78.0→86.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
blue by 30.5
2502
#4
151.59.3
108.8→118.1
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Second
5998
#26
116.79.5
83.2→92.8
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
blue by 8.0
6044
#7
124.87.6
83.9→91.5
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8
Third
3723
#51
107.911.5
88.6→100.2
Auto13.1
Teleop85.3
End4.8
red by 4.9
2450
#34
102.98.1
84.9→93.0
Auto16.5
Teleop76.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned