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Qual 162018 Northern Lights Regional
Red299
4174150.8
4506118.8
4239142.3
Blue279
4226134.3
2509129.9
2531124.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352350100200300400500600299279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#18
150.813.0
88.2→101.3
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
red by 16.5
4226
#27
134.39.4
87.3→96.7
Auto14.5
Teleop101.0
End20.3
Second
4239
#5
142.31.5
132.0→133.5
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
red by 12.4
2509
#35
129.97.7
101.3→109.0
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
Third
4506
#39
118.810.6
90.7→101.2
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
blue by 5.8
2531
#23
124.60.6
120.0→120.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned