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Red220
6758123.0
3036110.2
2512137.0
Blue347
4531138.2
1259170.8
5998116.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294297220240260280320340220347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#36
137.03.7
123.3127.0
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
blue by 33.7
170.811.8
112.9124.7
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
Second
6758
#47
123.08.6
96.4105.0
Auto16.4
Teleop93.9
End10.4
blue by 15.2
4531
#19
138.212.1
94.9107.0
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
Third
3036
#49
110.29.9
98.3108.2
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End11.5
blue by 6.5
5998
#26
116.75.8
92.898.6
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed