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Red358
1259170.8
4511120.5
706128.6
Blue289
3926131.6
4531138.2
3691130.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306303200250350400358289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.85.6
149.0154.6
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 32.6
4531
#19
138.20.9
137.8138.7
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
Second
706
#48
128.61.0
129.5128.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End14.2
blue by 2.9
3926
#11
131.64.5
117.1121.7
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
Third
4511
#38
120.50.8
119.7120.5
Auto16.5
Teleop93.6
End7.5
blue by 10.1
3691
#15
130.63.1
124.6127.7
Auto16.8
Teleop98.6
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed