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Red282
7021159.0
604585.1
305491.1
Blue335
4239142.3
5653132.2
4624138.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1293690100200300400500600282335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.07.0
130.4137.4
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 16.7
142.30.4
137.8138.2
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
Second
3054
#58
91.15.1
97.892.7
Auto13.8
Teleop73.2
End5.0
blue by 47.6
4624
#20
138.72.9
130.0132.8
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Third
6045
#56
85.13.7
88.885.1
Auto12.0
Teleop69.7
End2.7
blue by 47.1
5653
#10
132.24.9
115.9120.8
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed