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Qual 662018 Northern Lights Regional
Red286
5541105.8
4656134.7
4623154.3
Blue313
3212117.3
2989121.0
5826139.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284284280285290295300310286313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4623
#3
154.36.0
133.8→139.8
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
red by 14.5
5826
#29
139.84.2
128.3→132.5
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End18.7
Second
4656
#32
134.72.0
127.1→129.2
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
red by 13.6
2989
#12
121.03.8
113.2→116.9
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
Third
5541
#54
105.81.7
108.5→106.9
Auto15.3
Teleop82.2
End8.7
blue by 11.5
3212
#30
117.31.4
113.3→114.7
Auto15.3
Teleop94.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed