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Red408
5653132.2
4174150.8
5232138.8
Blue188
4531138.2
2989121.0
5541105.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348276100200300400500408188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#18
150.83.8
138.2142.0
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
red by 12.6
4531
#19
138.20.8
138.7139.5
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
Second
5232
#43
138.85.0
125.7130.7
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
red by 17.7
2989
#12
121.03.5
116.9120.5
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
Third
5653
#10
132.24.7
120.8125.5
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6
red by 26.4
5541
#54
105.80.3
106.9107.2
Auto15.3
Teleop82.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed