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Red290
3691130.6
2987162.4
4506118.8
Blue218
5903140.8
3267121.2
4624138.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3103020100200400500600700800290218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.46.0
149.0155.0
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
red by 21.5
5903
#28
140.84.1
132.6136.7
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
Second
3691
#15
130.62.2
127.7129.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.6
End17.5
blue by 8.0
4624
#20
138.73.4
132.8136.2
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Third
4506
#39
118.81.1
121.2120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
blue by 2.5
3267
#44
121.22.6
118.1120.8
Auto13.3
Teleop94.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed