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Red228
2509129.9
5653132.2
4182119.7
Blue414
2512137.0
4656134.7
1259170.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252386100200300500600228414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#10
132.24.3
125.5129.8
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6
blue by 38.5
170.84.6
159.3163.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
Second
2509
#35
129.92.5
125.8128.3
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
blue by 7.1
2512
#36
137.02.6
132.1134.7
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
Third
4182
#45
119.70.8
118.9119.7
Auto15.4
Teleop86.2
End20.0
blue by 15.0
4656
#32
134.72.6
129.2131.8
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned