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Red234
876167.5
5541105.8
305491.1
Blue362
2531124.6
2502151.5
5720125.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259343100200300400500600234362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
167.50.0
167.5167.5
Auto20.6
Teleop126.8
End18.8
red by 16.0
151.51.8
145.8147.6
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Second
5541
#54
105.81.4
107.2105.8
Auto15.3
Teleop82.2
End8.7
blue by 19.7
5720
#31
125.51.1
123.6124.6
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
Third
3054
#58
91.11.0
92.191.1
Auto13.8
Teleop73.2
End5.0
blue by 33.5
2531
#23
124.60.2
124.4124.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed