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Red442
3276169.5
4539204.6
2175138.5
Blue224
4198152.4
2052171.0
2846142.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405319200500600442224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.60.6
202.9203.5
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
red by 33.7
171.00.5
170.0170.5
Auto26.7
Teleop122.8
End20.6
Second
169.51.2
166.0167.2
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
red by 17.1
4198
#10
152.40.4
151.6151.9
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
Third
2175
#42
138.50.4
137.5137.8
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
blue by 4.0
2846
#34
142.60.7
140.9141.6
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7