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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Lake Superior Regional
Red426
3276169.5
4539204.6
2175138.5
Blue232
5299128.0
6217136.1
6160138.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4602490100200300400500600700426232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
204.60.8
200.7→201.5
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
red by 66.5
6160
#18
138.20.4
137.8→138.2
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
Second
3276
#3
169.51.7
161.3→163.1
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
red by 33.4
6217
#9
136.11.2
134.9→136.1
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
Third
2175
#42
138.50.6
135.9→136.5
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
red by 10.6
5299
#12
128.00.6
127.4→128.0
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End17.2