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Red207
4009129.6
4198152.4
4217105.5
Blue451
6628143.6
4539204.6
4607134.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643390100200300400500600700207451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#10
152.41.3
140.3141.5
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
blue by 52.2
204.62.4
175.8178.3
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
Second
4009
#21
129.61.9
142.5140.6
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
blue by 14.0
143.616.7
68.184.8
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
Third
4217
#55
105.518.0
57.175.1
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
blue by 28.8
4607
#13
134.416.5
70.486.9
Auto16.1
Teleop105.8
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed