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Qual 222018 Lake Superior Regional
Red307
4539204.6
4741118.8
6217136.1
Blue294
2202155.9
2499105.4
4230135.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492320100200300400500600307294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
204.63.3
181.3→184.5
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
red by 48.7
2202
#14
155.98.0
113.4→121.4
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
Second
6217
#9
136.16.6
97.5→104.1
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
red by 0.5
4230
#32
135.68.5
101.8→110.3
Auto14.9
Teleop101.1
End23.7
Third
4741
#44
118.88.4
94.5→102.9
Auto16.6
Teleop89.8
End14.9
red by 13.4
2499
#47
105.47.0
89.4→96.3
Auto13.2
Teleop81.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed