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Red87
3055116.9
3294128.0
3122115.1
Blue325
6318122.5
5253124.5
2264121.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27827410015020025030035040045087325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
#17
128.09.8
98.2108.0
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
red by 3.5
5253
#57
124.56.5
98.1104.6
Auto15.5
Teleop95.1
End13.7
Second
3055
#43
116.95.8
103.9109.7
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End19.5
blue by 5.7
6318
#52
122.51.2
114.6115.8
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End14.1
Third
3122
#54
115.16.8
95.1101.9
Auto17.9
Teleop79.7
End21.4
blue by 6.6
2264
#35
121.77.0
98.8105.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed