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Qual 42018 Lake Superior Regional
Red258
2977155.3
374099.3
4166101.8
Blue246
3840126.7
4845132.8
2538101.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972440100200400500600258246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#8
155.314.8
85.9→100.6
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
red by 22.5
4845
#25
132.816.4
70.8→87.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.7
End16.3
Second
4166
#59
101.817.6
60.3→77.9
Auto13.9
Teleop81.7
End9.1
blue by 24.9
3840
#40
126.716.2
72.7→88.9
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End12.5
Third
3740
#61
99.316.2
72.3→88.6
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
blue by 2.4
2538
#36
101.70.4
104.0→103.5
Auto16.3
Teleop76.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed