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Red352
6022129.0
5542127.1
3840126.7
Blue233
2511123.7
4009129.6
4215119.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281269150200250300350400352233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.04.6
111.8116.4
Auto14.7
Teleop98.3
End20.2
blue by 0.6
4009
#21
129.61.8
136.9135.1
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
Second
5542
#19
127.13.1
107.7110.9
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
red by 3.4
2511
#33
123.71.3
119.3120.6
Auto17.3
Teleop87.0
End16.8
Third
3840
#40
126.74.1
111.0115.0
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End12.5
red by 7.1
4215
#51
119.73.4
109.8113.2
Auto17.6
Teleop88.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed