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Red401
4778123.8
7028134.9
4011142.6
Blue287
3276169.5
4397120.3
6720117.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263285100200400500401287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#23
142.616.4
71.387.6
Auto15.7
Teleop107.8
End22.0
blue by 26.9
169.515.1
83.098.0
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
Second
7028
#41
134.950.9
128.677.7
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End23.6
red by 14.6
4397
#58
120.315.7
76.992.6
Auto17.7
Teleop87.9
End14.8
Third
4778
#53
123.816.1
73.689.7
Auto13.8
Teleop99.2
End12.5
red by 6.1
6720
#22
117.617.5
61.679.0
Auto15.9
Teleop93.4
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed