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Red151
2264121.7
5299128.0
4238108.4
Blue341
3755127.1
4728126.5
4166101.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291245100150200350400450500151341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5299
#12
128.02.5
122.0124.4
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End17.2
red by 0.9
3755
#37
127.10.9
126.0126.8
Auto13.9
Teleop100.9
End8.5
Second
2264
#35
121.71.8
115.6117.4
Auto17.5
Teleop92.0
End18.2
blue by 4.8
4728
#24
126.52.7
119.0121.7
Auto17.9
Teleop94.6
End15.7
Third
4238
#28
108.43.9
106.3110.2
Auto12.2
Teleop80.3
End14.2
red by 6.6
4166
#59
101.81.2
96.497.6
Auto13.9
Teleop81.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed