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Red174
4728126.5
4009129.6
6160138.2
Blue434
5464136.3
5348127.9
3294128.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331273100150200250300350400450500174434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6160
#18
138.27.8
123.9131.6
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
red by 1.9
5464
#16
136.33.9
119.1123.0
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
Second
4009
#21
129.61.3
135.1133.8
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
red by 1.6
3294
#17
128.00.9
119.9120.8
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
Third
4728
#24
126.54.1
121.7125.7
Auto17.9
Teleop94.6
End15.7
blue by 1.4
5348
#26
127.92.7
119.8122.4
Auto17.2
Teleop95.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed