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Red349
2846142.6
3755127.1
4217105.5
Blue131
2511123.7
3082135.7
7028134.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310317150200250350400349131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#34
142.62.5
135.2137.7
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
red by 6.8
3082
#48
135.72.4
133.3135.7
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Second
3755
#37
127.13.1
130.1127.1
Auto13.9
Teleop100.9
End8.5
blue by 7.8
7028
#41
134.91.0
133.9134.9
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End23.6
Third
4217
#55
105.50.5
105.0105.5
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
blue by 18.1
2511
#33
123.71.4
122.3123.7
Auto17.3
Teleop87.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed