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Qual 772018 Lake Superior Regional
Red296
1816129.6
4215119.7
5143102.0
Blue185
7041119.3
2511123.7
374099.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012680100200400500600296185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#27
129.60.6
127.6→128.2
Auto17.0
Teleop95.3
End17.5
red by 5.9
2511
#33
123.71.3
120.6→121.9
Auto17.3
Teleop87.0
End16.8
Second
4215
#51
119.71.8
115.8→117.6
Auto17.6
Teleop88.6
End17.4
red by 0.4
7041
#49
119.32.0
116.3→118.3
Auto15.5
Teleop88.3
End20.3
Third
5143
#56
102.01.9
104.2→102.3
Auto10.6
Teleop82.8
End11.7
red by 2.7
3740
#61
99.32.2
103.3→101.1
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed