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Red265
7028134.9
4397120.3
4230135.6
Blue451
3294128.0
5542127.1
3042142.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298358100200400500265451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#32
135.61.7
132.7134.4
Auto14.9
Teleop101.1
End23.7
blue by 6.8
3042
#29
142.43.9
132.9136.7
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End20.1
Second
7028
#41
134.94.4
126.6131.0
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End23.6
red by 6.9
3294
#17
128.02.9
120.8123.7
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
Third
4397
#58
120.32.7
115.8118.4
Auto17.7
Teleop87.9
End14.8
blue by 6.8
5542
#19
127.14.5
115.6120.1
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed