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Red343
3276169.5
3055116.9
6022129.0
Blue288
2846142.6
3840126.7
1816129.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327297100200400500600343288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.56.0
153.5159.5
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
red by 26.9
2846
#34
142.63.9
131.4135.2
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
Second
129.02.5
124.5127.0
Auto14.7
Teleop98.3
End20.2
blue by 0.6
1816
#27
129.61.4
128.2129.6
Auto17.0
Teleop95.3
End17.5
Third
3055
#43
116.90.1
116.7116.9
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End19.5
blue by 9.9
3840
#40
126.71.7
125.0126.7
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed