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Red310
2175166.9
3130187.9
3082139.1
Blue350
2451188.4
1625178.0
2225126.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379359200250300400450500550310350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.90.6
187.3187.9
Auto23.5
Teleop139.8
End26.6
blue by 0.5
188.40.3
188.1188.4
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
Second
166.90.5
166.3166.9
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
blue by 11.1
178.00.3
177.7178.0
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
Third
3082
#22
139.10.2
138.9139.1
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
red by 12.9
2225
#41
126.20.3
126.0126.2
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6