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Red419
3313151.4
3633166.6
2227155.9
Blue223
2472146.6
5278144.9
2574123.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404292100200500600419223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.60.8
164.3165.1
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
red by 20.0
2472
#13
146.60.4
145.1145.5
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
Second
2227
#23
155.90.2
155.3155.5
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
red by 11.0
144.91.0
140.8141.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Third
3313
#10
151.40.6
149.6150.2
Auto18.9
Teleop107.2
End26.7
red by 28.2
2574
#19
123.20.3
121.9122.2
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6