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Red187
3313151.4
3042151.4
7258113.1
Blue309
2451188.4
3883133.5
5626103.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833450100200400500600187309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#15
151.41.6
142.4144.0
Auto23.6
Teleop112.6
End13.6
blue by 37.0
188.43.2
168.1171.3
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
Second
3313
#10
151.40.4
142.4142.8
Auto18.9
Teleop107.2
End26.7
red by 17.9
3883
#18
133.50.3
129.8129.6
Auto18.5
Teleop103.1
End10.7
Third
7258
#31
113.135.4
113.177.7
Auto17.4
Teleop88.2
End7.4
red by 9.4
5626
#43
103.716.4
70.987.3
Auto15.3
Teleop80.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed