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Qual 152018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red336
2225126.2
4665119.2
2472146.6
Blue182
2177112.0
3202119.5
3871140.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274273200240260280300320336182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#13
146.61.0
130.8→131.8
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
red by 5.9
3871
#17
140.713.8
86.5→100.3
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
Second
2225
#41
126.27.2
91.1→98.3
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
red by 6.7
3202
#39
119.511.9
80.6→92.5
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
Third
4665
#47
119.20.7
117.5→118.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
red by 7.3
2177
#29
112.01.5
109.8→111.3
Auto11.3
Teleop90.3
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed